Archive for the ‘HMBS’ Category

HMBS October 2019 Part II: HMBS Float Drops Below $54 Billion

Monday, November 11th, 2019

Outstanding HMBS fell by $180 million in October, as continued strong payoffs outweighed a solid issuance month. Payoffs once again totaled just under $1 billion. Total outstanding HMBS fell to $53.9 billion, a three-year low. This is the first month HMBS float has been less than $54 billion since May 2016.

Total HMBS float will likely fall further given current trends. HMBS issuance in the first half of 2019 was the lowest half of issuance in five years. With two months to go, HMBS issuance figures to post the lowest annual total in five years.

We do predict continuing declines in Mandatory Buyouts in the foreseeable future. “Peak Buyout” was an echo of the peak issuance from 2009 through the first half of 2013. Much of this production has already been repurchased by the issuers or repaid by borrowers. From now on, billion-dollar-plus payoff months will be the exception rather than the rule, although this month came close. Many HECM loans continue to reach their buyout threshold, equal to 98% of their Maximum Claim Amount (“MCA”), but Peak Buyout appears to have ended.

Our friends at Recursion broke down the prepayment numbers further: the 98% MCA mandatory purchases accounted for $536 million, or about 54%, of the payoffs last month. This percentage represents a three year low and continues a gradual downward trend from the buyout peak in the third quarter of 2018, which averaged over $750 million in Mandatory Purchases per month.

New View Advisors compiled this data from publicly available Ginnie Mae data as well as private sources.

Mr. October Comes Through for Team HMBS

Friday, November 1st, 2019

HMBS issuance totaled $642 million in October 2019, as lower rates continued to strengthen new production. 82 pools were issued in October, including about $426 million of new unseasoned HECM first participation pools, the highest monthly total for new production this year, and the fourth straight monthly increase.

Reverse mortgage lenders face a new era of reduced volume, primarily due to the new lower PLFs for Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (“HECMs”) in effect since the beginning of fiscal year 2018. Even with this month’s issuance, the HMBS market will be hard pressed to equal last year’s totals. For the entire year of 2018, HMBS issuance totaled about $9.6 billion, and $10.5 billion in 2017. HMBS issuers sold 99 pools totaling $1.018 billion in October 2018.

October’s production of $426 million of original new loan pools surpasses $393 million in September, $390 million in August, $321 million in July, $331 million in June, $325 million in May, $300 million in April, $277 million in March, $274 in February, and $304 million in January. Last month’s tail pool issuances totaled $216 million, on the low end of the range for recent tail issuance. As predicted, we are likely seeing the benefit of lower interest rates helping new origination volume.

October 2019 issuance divided into 34 First-Participation or Original pools and 48 tail pools. Original pools are those HMBS pools backed by first participations in previously uncertificated HECM loans. Tail HMBS issuances are HMBS pools consisting of subsequent participations. Tails are not from new loans, but they do represent new amounts lent. Tail HMBS issuance can generate profits for years, helping HMBS issuers during challenging times.

New View Advisors compiled this data from publicly available Ginnie Mae data as well as private sources.

HMBS September 2019 Part II: HMBS Float Falls Again

Wednesday, October 9th, 2019

Outstanding HMBS fell by $182 million in September, as strong payoffs outweighed a decent issuance month. Payoffs once again totaled just under $1 billion. Total outstanding HMBS fell to just over $54.1 billion.

Total HMBS float will likely fall further given current trends. HMBS issuance in the first half of 2019 was the lowest half of issuance in five years.

We predict continuing declines in Mandatory Buyouts in the foreseeable future. “Peak Buyout” was an echo of the peak issuance from 2009 through the first half of 2013. Much of this production has already been repurchased by the issuers or repaid by borrowers. From now on, billion-dollar-plus payoff months will be the exception rather than the rule. Many HECM loans continue to reach their buyout threshold, equal to 98% of their Maximum Claim Amount (“MCA”), but Peak Buyout appears to have ended.

Our friends at Recursion broke down the prepayment numbers further: the 98% MCA Mandatory Purchases accounted for $561 million, or about 59%, of the payoffs last month. This percentage represents a 21-month low and continues a gradual downward trend from the buyout peak in last year’s third quarter, which averaged over $750 million in Mandatory Purchases per month.

New View Advisors compiled this data from publicly available Ginnie Mae data as well as private sources.

2019Q3 HMBS Issuer League Tables – Two Can Play That Game

Wednesday, October 2nd, 2019

AAG remains the frontrunner HMBS issuer for the third quarter of 2019, with $1.38 billion of issuance and 23% market share. Note AAG’s totals are all new originations, with no highly seasoned pools issued. Longbridge took sole possession of second place with $1.29 billion of issuance and a 21.5% share. Longbridge’s rise in the rankings is attributable in large part to a spate of highly seasoned pool issuance during the quarter. RMF previously made similar leaps in the league tables with their seasoned pool issuances. As a result of Longbridge’s surge, RMF was pushed to third with $1.11 billion issued and 18.6% market share, FAR moved down a notch to fourth with $855.2 million issued and 14.3% market share, and PHH Mortgage Corp placed fifth with $665.8 million and 11.1% market share. These five issuers accounted for 88.5% of all issuance, up from 2019Q2’s 83%, and back near the Top-5 concentration high of 91% at year-end 2018. There were 13 active HMBS issuers during the quarter. Live Well Financial is gone, and one-time issuer Synergy One Lending did not issue securities in the quarter.

2019Q3 saw $2.33 billion of HMBS issued, up from both Q2’s $1.98 billion and Q1’s $1.67 billion. For the first nine months, industry volume is off 19% from a year ago. Total HMBS issuance in the first nine months of 2018 was $7.43 billion. Even with highly seasoned pool issuance, expect lower HMBS issuance volume going forward.

New View Advisors compiled these rankings from publicly available Ginnie Mae data as well as private sources.

HMBS August 2019: Issuance Does Not Take a Vacation

Tuesday, September 3rd, 2019

HMBS issuance totaled $637 million in August, as lower rates strengthened new production. 93 pools were issued in August, including about $390 million of new unseasoned HECM first participation pools, the highest monthly total for new production this year. There were no highly seasoned pools issued.

Reverse mortgage lenders face a new era of reduced volume, primarily due to the new lower PLFs for Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (“HECMs”) in effect since the beginning of Fiscal Year 2018. For the 2018 calendar year, HMBS issuance totaled about $9.6 billion, compared to $10.5 billion in 2017. Even with this month’s issuance, the HMBS market will be hard pressed to equal last year’s totals. HMBS issuers sold 110 pools totaling $580 million in August 2018.

August’s production of original new loan pools was about $390 million, compared to $321 million in July, $331 million in June, $325 million in May, $300 million in April, $277 million in March, $274 in February, and $304 million in January. Last month’s tail pool issuances totaled $243 million, on the high end of the range of recent tail issuance. As predicted last month, we are seeing the benefit of lower interest rates helping new origination volume.

August 2019 issuance divided into 32 First-Participation or Original pools and 61 tail pools. Original pools are those HMBS pools backed by first participations in previously uncertificated HECM loans. Tail HMBS issuances are HMBS pools consisting of subsequent participations. Tails are not from new loans, but they do represent new amounts lent. Tail HMBS issuance can generate profits for years, helping HMBS issuers during challenging times.

New View Advisors compiled this data from publicly available Ginnie Mae data as well as private sources.

HMBS July 2019 Part II: HMBS Float Rises

Friday, August 9th, 2019

Outstanding HMBS rose by nearly $300 million in July, helped by a large new pool backed by highly seasoned Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (“HECMs”). Payoffs once again totaled just under $1 billion. Total outstanding HMBS rose to just under $54.5 billion. Without that one pool, HMBS float would have fallen below $54 billion for the first time in over 3 years.

Total HMBS float will likely finally fall further given current trends. HMBS issuance in the first half of 2019 was the lowest half of issuance in five years.

We also predict continuing declines in Mandatory Buyouts in the foreseeable future. “Peak Buyout” was an echo of the peak issuance from 2009 through the first half of 2013. Much of this production has already been repurchased or repaid by borrowers. From now on, billion-dollar-plus payoff months will be the exception rather than the rule. Many HECM loans continue to reach their buyout threshold, equal to 98% of their Maximum Claim Amount (“MCA”), but Peak Buyout appears to have ended.

Our friends at Recursion broke down the prepayment numbers further: the 98% MCA mandatory purchases accounted for $610 million, or about 61%, of the payoffs last month. This continues a gradual downward trend from the buyout peak in last year’s third quarter, which averaged over $750 million in Mandatory Purchases per month.

New View Advisors compiled this data from publicly available Ginnie Mae data as well as private sources.

HMBS July 2019: It’s the Time of the Seasoned; Live Well’s Not There

Thursday, August 1st, 2019

HMBS issuance rose in July 2019 to over $1 billion, helped by a large highly seasoned pool. 83 pools were issued in July, including about $321 million of new unseasoned HECM first participation pools, the third highest monthly total for new production this year. Half of this month’s total issuance, the largest in 15 months, was from one large highly seasoned CMT pool.

Reverse mortgage lenders face a new era of reduced volume, primarily due to the new lower PLFs for Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (“HECMs”) in effect since the beginning of Fiscal Year 2018. For the entire year of 2018, HMBS issuance totaled about $9.6 billion, compared to $10.5 billion in 2017. Even with this month’s issuance, the HMBS market will be hard pressed to equal last year’s totals, which included some HMBS issuance backed by new HECM loans originated at higher PLFs. HMBS issuers sold 100 pools totaling $545 million in July 2018.

Live Well is no longer the issuer of record for any Ginnie Mae HMBS pools. According to the Ginnie Mae data, RMF acquired the rights to the Live Well pools issued from December 2018 through June 2019. These pools totaled just under $200 million in unpaid balance as of last month. Late last year, RMF acquired over $4 billion in issuer rights, consisting of all outstanding HMBS pools issued by Live Well through November 2018. Pool BN4497 has the distinction of being the last pool issued by Live Well.

July’s production of original new loan pools was about $321 million, compared to $331 million in June, $325 million in May, $300 million in April, $277 million in March, $274 in February, and $304 million in January. Last month’s tail pool issuances totaled $222 million, within the range of recent tail issuance. With rates trending lower, we may be seeing the benefit of lower interest rates helping new origination volume.

July 2019 issuance divided into 28 First-Participation or Original pools and 55 tail pools, exactly the same totals as June. Original pools are those HMBS pools backed by first participations in previously uncertificated HECM loans. Tail HMBS issuances are HMBS pools consisting of subsequent participations. Tails are not from new loans, but they do represent new amounts lent. Tail HMBS issuance can generate profits for years, helping HMBS issuers during challenging times.

New View Advisors compiled this data from publicly available Ginnie Mae data as well as private sources.

2019Q2 HMBS Issuer League Tables – Very Little Change

Monday, July 1st, 2019

AAG retains its lead HMBS issuer slot for the second quarter of 2019, with $847.4 million of issuance for a 23.3% market share. RMF stayed in second, with $651.7 million issued and 17.9% market share, and FAR held third with $553.8 million issued and 15.19% market share. Longbridge jumped two spots to #4 with $552.2 million and 15.15% market share, and PHH Mortgage Corp, fka Ocwen Loan Servicing, fka Liberty Home Equity Solutions, placed fifth with $425.1 million for a 11.7% market share. These five issuers accounted for more than 83% of all issuance, up 4% from 2019Q1’s 79%. There were 14 active HMBS issuers during the quarter. One-time issuer Synergy One Lending did not issue securities in the quarter.

2019Q2 saw $1.98 billion of HMBS issued, up from 2019Q1’s $1.67 billion, but for the half, industry volume is off 36% from a year ago. Total HMBS issuance in the first six months of 2018 was $5.71 billion. Even with highly seasoned pool issuance, expect lower HMBS issuance volume going forward.

New View Advisors compiled these rankings from publicly available Ginnie Mae data as well as private sources.

HMBS June 2019: Is First Half Glass Empty or Will Second Half Be Glass Full

Monday, July 1st, 2019

HMBS issuance fell in June 2019 to just over $561 million, ending the slowest half-year of issuance in five years, though yet another uptick in new production gave hope for the second half. No highly seasoned pools were issued. 83 pools were issued in June, including about $331 million of new unseasoned HECM first participation pools. HMBS float will almost certainly fall if June’s payoffs are in line with recent months.

Reverse mortgage lenders face a new era of reduced volume, primarily due to the new lower PLFs for Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (“HECMs”) in effect since the beginning of Fiscal Year 2018. For the entire year of 2018, HMBS issuance totaled about $9.6 billion, compared to $10.5 billion in 2017. With total issuance at only $3.6 billion at the half-year mark, the HMBS market will be hard pressed to equal last year’s totals, which included some HMBS issuance backed by new HECM loans originated at higher PLFs. For comparison, HMBS issuers sold 116 pools totaling $964 million in June 2018.

Live Well Financial issued 1 HMBS pool in June totaling about $1.3 million. LiveWell recently ceased originating new loans.

June’s production of original new loan pools was about $331 million, compared to $325 million in May, $300 million in April, $277 million in March, $274 in February, and $304 million in January. Last month’s tail pool issuances totaled $230 million, within the range of recent tail issuance. After several months of Groundhog Day mode, with very similar volume statistics, we may be seeing the benefit of lower interest rates helping new origination volume.

June 2019 issuance divided into 28 First-Participation or Original pools and 55 tail pools. Original pools are those HMBS pools backed by first participations in previously uncertificated HECM loans. Tail HMBS issuances are HMBS pools consisting of subsequent participations. Tails are not from new loans, but they do represent new amounts lent. Tail HMBS issuance can generate profits for years, helping HMBS issuers during challenging times.

New View Advisors compiled this data from publicly available Ginnie Mae data as well as private sources.

HMBS: In the Month of May, “Gotta Find Me a Future, Move Out of My Way”

Monday, June 3rd, 2019

The future of reverse mortgage capital markets provided the theme of last month’s NRMLA Investors Conference in New York. In the month of May, HMBS issuers provided a glimpse of the future, with the first HMBS platinum pools, continued stagnation in the original pool market, and more highly seasoned issuance from the melting iceberg of (very) old whole loans.

HMBS issuance rose in May 2019 to just over $855 million. If not for three highly seasoned pools that bumped up issuance volume by over $282 million, May issuance would have been consistent with the low issuance of recent months. 94 pools were issued in May, including about $325 million of new unseasoned HECM first participation pools. HMBS float shrinkage will probably hold steady at about $54.5 billion if May’s payoffs are in line with recent months.

Ginnie Mae launched its HMBS Platinum Program on April 10th. Market participants can now aggregate Ginnie Mae II HMBS pools into Platinum pools. Like the underlying HMBS, these new pools will be segregated based on collateral type. As of today, no HMBS Platinum pool has been issued.

Live Well Financial issued 6 HMBS pools in May totaling about $23 million. Live Well recently ceased originating new loans.

Reverse mortgage lenders face a new era of reduced volume, primarily due to the new lower PLFs for Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (“HECMs”) in effect since the beginning of Fiscal Year 2018. For the calendar year of 2018, HMBS issuance totaled about $9.6 billion, compared to $10.5 billion in 2017. The HMBS market will be hard pressed to equal last year’s totals, which included some HMBS issuance backed by new HECM loans originated at higher PLFs. For comparison, HMBS issuers sold 113 pools totaling $579 million in May 2018.

Production of original new loan pools was about $325 million in May, compared to $300 million in April, $277 million in March, $274 in February, and $304 million in January. Last month’s tail pool issuances totaled $247 million, within the range of recent tail issuance. For the past few months, the new issuance market has settled into Groundhog Day mode, with very similar volume statistics other than the occasional seasoned first participation issue.

May 2019 issuance divided into 36 First-Participation or Original pools, and 58 tail pools. Original pools are those HMBS pools backed by first participations in previously uncertificated HECM loans. Tail HMBS issuances are HMBS pools consisting of subsequent participations. Tails are not from new loans, but they do represent new amounts lent. Tail HMBS issuance can generate profits for years, helping HMBS issuers during challenging times.

New View Advisors compiled this data from publicly available Ginnie Mae data as well as private sources.